Date: Fri Dec 15, 2006 6:19 am. By: Guest
John Beardmore wrote:
In message , meow2222@care2.com writes John Beardmore wrote: In message , meow2222@care2.com writes John Beardmore wrote: In message , Andy Hall writes On 2006-11-29 00:25:37 +0000, John Beardmore wookie@wookie.demon.co.uk> said: In message , Andy Hall writes
And as already said, once people pay for disposal there will be a mass uptake of composting, which clearly will reduce collection footprint.
It might reduce collected volume, but if the composting is done badly at home, it may also give off a great deal of methane I suspect, so I'm not sure the footprint would necessarily fall.
Home composting can be expected to generate less methane than landfill. The footprint reduction is that all that composted garbage either doesnt get collected at all, or gets collected after composting, when its volume is much smaller. The reduction there is clear enough.
I'm tempted to call the other examples of demonopolisation, such as electricity, gas, phone.
Be tempted. But maybe this is more like delivered milk or groceries ?
And in both cases, private enterprise leads to improvements.
Take grocery delivery for example. One vehicle delivers to (at a guess) lets say 20 customers, and each vehicle goes to a geographic grouping of customers because of the profit motive.
Yes - delivering groceries might make more sense than all end users driving to the supermarket,
but that doesn't mean that each supermarket having a vehicle fleet covering each area has a lower delivery footprint than each area being served by a single vehicle from a single location.
What has that to do with the real world? If you want to bring a one vehicle fleet into the options, give us some numbers, lets see how it would work. I cant think how it could.
We need some numbers here - so lets say the customers of one van live 1 mile from the store, and on avergae 0.15 miles from each other. Now, traditional shopping means 20 cars each doing 2 miles, finishing the job in say 2 hrs. thats 20 vehicles and 40 miles travelled, and 40 manhours of labour.
A delivery van travels the 1 mile to customer A, then 0.15 miles 19 times, then 1 mile back to store. It takes 5 minutes per delivery and 10 minutes in traffic between each customer. So thats 4.85 miles travelled in total, or quarter of a mile per customer, one vehicle not 20, and under 20 minutes of labour per customer.
An analogy which would be utterly splendid if only we drove our own rubbish to the 'waste transfer station' !
But we don't. So it's toast !
The above is clearly part of an explanation as to why private enterprise leads to more efficiency, and is not a description of waste collection.
Now, we both know that under state monopoly control, supermarkets would not have started internet ordering and home deliveries. Under private enterprise, its been done and is a great success. And from one success, many will copy.
And yet somehow the LAs still manage to come round and collect waste once a week !
and?
You picked a good example.
Indeed ! Better than yours anyway !
mine was your example. Did you forget?
so you said, and I answered that one.
Well - if you were setting out to be convincing, you failed !
Not really, you're not the only one reading this, and people can get the input from all of us and make their own decisions. Its all part of the learning and informing process, whoever you do and dont agree with.
well, see above, but theyre already points that had been brought up before you wrote that, so its pretty well addressed really.
There are currently about 108 messages in this thread I haven't read and may never have time to.
ah
None the less what I have read from you and Andy among the other 932 messages hasn't been convincing so far.
What makes you think I'll regard your recent missives as the very model of good sense ?
What makes you think I would think that? What you think isnt my sole reason for writing. Sorry about that.
No - being told isn't enough. What you are told has to 'add up' and make sense !
but you werent exposed to other views on the matter.
I wouldn't bank on that.
I would bank on you not being exposed to all the relevant views. Universities are like that inevitably, because of the function they fulfil.
Well - it's certainly true that we all have our unique perspectives, but that doesn't make you right any more than it makes me wrong.
?
That depends on what you mean by "environmental foot print"
Are you going to tell us you dont see any issues with that definition?
Well - clearly it is prone to underestimate, but it seems to be a pretty useful and largely quantitative way of looking at the problem.
Uesful yes, quantitative yes, but properly addressing the issue I think no.
The reason being ?
http://periodpropertyshop.co.uk/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=6888 yes, the thread is 10 pages long, but most of its about something else (nuclear energy). Mainly pp 1,2,10 iirc.
Well again, given that footprint calculations tend to underestimate, I'd like to know how you think the sort of errors that the technique is prone to strengthen your case.
above link
Well you seem to be decrying environmental footprint because "The definition is individual".
I think youre confusing me with Andy there
I'm suggesting that given that the definition and concept are pretty clear, you might criticise particular elements of the method for failing to accurately account for all the impacts of an activity, and if you have a sound numeric argument, the technique can be refined.
I've offered another method with differing strengths and weaknesses in the link
But just to say "The definition is individual", (which it isn't), or "not everyone buys this approach", (so what ?), if pretty useless unless you plan to volunteer some better way to understand the situation.
I havent said that
its not that the solution is non-trivial, right now the issue is that the solution isnt available.
THE solution ??
the solution to climate change
But may things which may mitigate it are. There unlikely ever to be a SINGLE solution.
I can recommend reading the whole thing before replying
No-one can stand up and say 'heres the plan sir, this will work and stop climate change' and have their plan taken as realistic. Nobody has a workable effective plan.
Indeed,
I'm glad we've established that, because its rather key to the whole subject of climate change and how to resolve it.
but making the problem less bad less quickly seems smarter than making it more bad more quickly.
absolutely.
It is unfortunate that recycling items not worth recycling, plus using extra fuel, vehicles and labour to collect them only makes things worse.
But sensible waste disposal isn't a "Britain-only solution" any more than switching lights off using renewable energy.
this is true, but I'm not sure its really to the point. Unless youre proposing developing newer more efficient ways to deal with garbage. Which of course private enterprise would promote, by offering a profit reward plus opening the market up to innovators.
The whole geographical / administrative boundary thing is a total red herring.
Its one of the central issues in fact. One reason the present approach isnt working has a lot to do with this issue. This is one reason we need an approach that cuts right past this problem, ie an economic not a political solution.
The notion that everyone can achieve anything is the stuff of Disney films.
Indeed - you can't back thermodynamics. :)
?
The mass of people working 9-5 year in year out make it pretty clear it aint so.
Depends what they work on and how they work.
<shaking head>
some snipping:
The only real solution si to devise methods that both can be applied internatinally, and for which there is an incentive to apply them worldwide. The real climate problem solvers are not footprint assessments, but technology innovators.
AFAIK fusion is not one of the promising energy techs in the pipeline, so isnt part of the solution.
So what do you think will sort it ?
as I said, a future energy development. Youre not really asking me to gaze into a crystal ball and tell you who will win the race, or are you?
Whether you like it or not we are betting the farm.
I agree that we are doing, and I don't particularly like it.
There is no better alternative to that.
I don't think that view is universally held !
If you have an alternative, ie a proposition to solve the global problem, lets all hear it. I dont believe for a moment you have one that'll work in the real world.
2nd we have no other solution today than research. So we need to follow the R&D path, not waste our time money & energy on things that can never do it.
The less green house gas we emit, and the more slowly we emit it, the longer we have to get something half way decent out of an R&D process.
of course.
3rd there is plenty the average Jo can do to support such research. They can ask publicly for more research, they can raise funds for research programs, they can donate, they can set up prize funds for anyone that comes along with an energy solution that meets a given set of criteria - all these things accelerate the pace of technological change, and all (but one) are within anyone's grasp.
Yes - sounds much like the sort of stuff Eurosolar do.
The next step is for people to find out that this kind of thing really is the solution. Pointing out that the present political based approach is not really a solution is part of that.
Then to encourage more participation in such things. Then the need to evaluate such schemes with real care will pop up and hopefully get addressed.
4th there are loads of new techs coming out every year, check the patents if you dont believe me.
There are loads of new patents, but it's fascinating that you don't name a single one that looks more promising than fusion.
I'm surprised youre backing that one. But asking me to name which will be the winner of this race in the future is a bit unrealistic dont you think? If only we knew already :)
One could say windgen and solarthermal hold some promise, but what will win in each energy supply area who knows. For all we know it might turn out to be beaming down microwaves from Venus.
5thly energy technologies are being developed and improved already. Its already happening, so you cant say theres nothing ahead there.
I've never said there is no progress being made, but you have yet to identify any progress that is significant,
?? Do you not think nuclear significant? Or the great drop in price of windgen, leading to the present early days of mass rollout? Everyone knows these 2.
Surely youre aware of advances being made in wave energy, solar electric, solar thermal and so on? Each passing decade sees lower cost per watt in all these areas.
and seem dismissive of renewables and fusion.
Whatever gives you that idea? I've already said renewables are our future solution.
As for fusion, who knows what will win, but I wouldnt rate it top of the list as you do.
So - among all the patents you refer to, could you identify say 5 which you think really address the problem of climate change ?
I've already made clear its a future development that will address it, not a past one.
So in essence, you suggest we do noting to reduce our emissions,
I've never said any such thing. For years I've said quite the opposite in fact.
but ask for research to be done,
not quite
make some donations, and offer prizes to solve the worlds problems !
ROFL !
Maybe if you follow whats being said first.
I was assuming you were aware of the function of prizes, but now I cant assume that. Prizes to whoever get a lot of independants involved in the process that would not otherwise participate, which often yields results. Prizes have been and still continue to be a standard part of stimulating technological change. They have been used for centuries at least, and probably very much longer, and are still proving successful today (eg see DARPA competitions for robotic vehicles)
This problem isn't going to be solved by a single interest group,
It only takes one technology. That will come from one lab, so yes it will be.
Well - you just might be right.
Had cold fusion worked, something along those lines might have been a 'magic bullet', but I for one don't think we can rely on that sort of single solution,
Even though you accepted further up there is no other final solution than an affordable energy technology? (Unless you've been able to present another solution meanwhile)
There isnt anything magic about what we need, its just a case of continuing progress. Just a case of edging down the cost of some renewable to the point where its good for mass deployment. This is already happening bit by bit, and its most likely we will get there. The sooner the better.
and even if we get one, we have a better chance if emissions are reduced in the mean time.
definitely
but by characterising the problems and looking for opportunities to fix it at all levels.
Hmm. Thing is, there are no opportunities to fix it at almost all levels. There are none.
Well - none you seem to know about. But I guess we can't help wilful ignorance or disingenuous stance.
Well, I've invited you to present your proposal to solve the world climate change problem. If you manage to come up with one, one thats realistic and workable, I'll eat my hat and both the neighbours'. Until then I'll regard your comments there as completely off course.
The present approach sure isnt going to do it.
It sure isn't going to do all of it at present rates of progress.
I await your presentation then
The one thing that everyone will do the world around is adopt a new technology that is cost efficient and non-polluting. That is our solution.
It will be when there is one. IF there is one...
We have several renewable energy techs, some of which are already at minority-usable prices. The cost per watt of all renewable energy tehcs has been gradually coming down for a long time... So what do you think may happen to prevent a renewable becoming competitive with fossils?
In the distant future, energy reduction is not part of the solution. Its an interim measure only.
OK - so you concede that it has value as an interim measure then.
Concede, no, I've been promoting energy efficiency for years. You only need read my posts on halogen downlighters to see this.
Once energy is cheap in bulk and non-pollution, we can use much more than we do today.
Well - here you have much in common with the renewable energy community who take the view that once using RE, being profligate isn't a problem.
This is a sound point, except that your postulated sustainable energy source (TBA) doesn't exist,
We know that. We also know the evidence points firmly to the likelihood that it soon will.
and the capital cost of existing renewable energy sources is so high that it's more or less always cheaper to cut consumption than generate more energy.
Which takes us back to cutting consumption
yes, for now. It seems a shame your views on rubbish disposal and markets lead us in the opposite direction.
NT