Date: Wed Dec 20, 2006 6:08 pm. By: Guest
One square meter of sunlight contains 850 watts of direct energy per square meter at Earth's surface. At 40% efficiency we have 340 watts electrical. In my application there are lenses, and so, this is reduced by another 10% - to about 300 watts overall per square meter.
The panels themselves are about $21 per square meter, and each square meter requires another $9 of attached systems to efficiently produce hydrogen from them. This cost is broken down as follows for 1 square meter;
Hot press molded PET sheets (2) 200 um thick: $0.10 Water filling the molded sheets ultrapure: $0.01 Hot press molded ABS base sheet 400 um: $0.10 0.775 sq in UTJ cells @ $20/sq in: $15.50 copper foil circuit connecting UTJ cells: $5.15 expanded styrene structural foam 3 in by 1 m2: $0.14
TOTAL/m2: $21.00
ELECTRICAL OUTPUT: 300 watts COST PER WATT: $0.07
Now, this is just PEAK POWER. The cost of energy is given by the average power which is much less. First off, through the day, the sun rises and sets, and so you have cosine losses over 12 hours of sunlight per day. This means only 70.7% of the light is available even under ideal conditions. You also have atmospheric effects. Light travelling through many miles more of air at sunrise and sunset is softer than light travelling through less air at noon. This reduces total light available to an optimally oriented flat plate to about 50% of what it might otherwise be. THEN, you have seasonal effects due to the panel being situated at 25 degrees north latitude - Southern Texas or Southern Florida to the Northern States 49 degrees north latitude - which when combined with the 23 degree tilt of the Earth's axis relative to its orbit around the Sun, further reduces light levels. Panels can be optimally tilted South to face the Sun in the North (or any latitude) but the variation of +/- 11.5 degrees around the center line extracts another 2% from the total. And seasonal variations can cause daylight in North America to vary from 8 hours to 16 hours depending on season and latitude
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Day_length.jpeg
And then there is cloud cover!
All these effects mean that we have 4 kWh/m2/da to 7 kWh/m2/da when averaged over the year in the continental US
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Us_pv_annual_may2004.jpg
So, at 40% efficiency, this means that a square meter produces 1.6 kWh/m2/da to 2.8 kWh/m2/da in the continental US
We have optioned land from mining interests in Northern Nevada. This has 5.5 kWh/m2/da and at 40% efficiency this translates to 2.2 kWh/m2/da.
There are 365.25 days in a year - so, we can produce 803.55 kWh per m2 per year. This square meter costs $21 as outlined. And with a discount rate of 8% per year and a 10 year life span we have the cost of capital of $3.13 per square meter and a cost of ENERGY of 0.387 cents per kWh!!!
The cost of the hydrogen conversion (and peak power matching) equipment is $9 for every square meter installed. Here's the complete breakdown per square meter for mysystem
Desc Panel Electrolyzer Cost $21.00 $9.00 Discount 8% 8% Life 10 year 10 years Cost/yr $3.13 $1.34 kWh/yr 808.55 808.55 Cost/kWh $0.00387 $0.00166 Cost/kg $0.19 $0.08 TOTAL Cost/ton $193.53 $82.94 $276.48
This consists of a plastic cylindrical tank filled half way with water and possessing 'D' shaped stainless steel electrodes riding on a plastic tube. The stainless steel is thin coated onto a molded PET sheet forming part of the tube arrangement. DC voltage is applied to either end of a 'stack' of sheets with the only electrical connection from one end of the tank to the other, being the electrodes and the water containing potassium hydroxide electrolyte in low concentration.
The top of the tank has a molded PET header that collects hydrogen and oxygen off the electrodes. By monitoring the current and voltage of the panels, a servo motor is rotated to bring the D shaped electrodes into and out of solution so that optimal current density is maintained as lighting conditions vary.
Water is admitted through a float valve arrangement in the stationary tanks at high pressure and oxygen is released through a turbine arrangement to the atmosphere connecting several 'tubs' with high pressure lines. The turbo arrangement runs an air compressor that pressurizes the water supply, which has a further assist from a DC electric motor.
The high pressure hydrogen is blown down through several tubs to be stored underground in a spent gas well nearby. 100 days supply is stored underground at high pressure. Hydrogen is retrieved and sent to a hydrogenation reactor where coal is converted to liquid fuels, gasoline, diesel fuel and jet fuel.
Physically we operate more than 1 sq meter at a time of course. Each panel we make is 3.0 sq meters (nearly 8ft x 4ft) and 3 inches thick. We string 1,100 panels together into 110 separate circuits and connect to 55 separate electrolyzer tanks at each end of the string (think of Christmas tree light production). Each string is 4,400 feet long and 8 feet wide, and at peak produces 1,122,000 watts of electricity. Over the course of a year a string produces 2,651,715 kWh of energy. A strong of 1100 panels when z-folded together, it conveniently on a 52' x 12' x 16' truck trailer. In the field, one end is staked down and a special tractor plants the string in less than 30 minutes. Two connections at either end, connect the tubs to the circuit. Water and gas lines connect strings at either end, to collectors at the edge of each 'square'
It takes about 50 kWh of energy to produce a kg of hydrogen from 9 kg of water. This is 53 tons of hydrogen per string. 660 strings are needed to cover a mile, and this square mile (with access on either end for pipelines, etc) produce 35,000 tons of hydrogen per year.
Each ton of hydrogen has the heat equivalent of 23 barrels of oil and 5.26 tons of high grade coal.
The hydrogen can be sold directly for this heat value and burned in coal fired generators. So, we arrange with electric utilities to exchange hydrogen for coal, at zero cost. They install hydrogen burners instead of stack cleaners to eliminate pollution.
We obtain the carbon credits and sell those credits in addition to getting the coal.
Each ton of coal is worth $35 and each ton of coal produces about 3.6 tons of CO2 and a ton of avoided carbon creates a credit worth $18. So, that's $66 per ton of avoided carbon emissions, and when added to the value of the coal its $101 per ton of coal equivalent hydrogen heat value.
Each ton of hydrogen has 142 MJ in it. Each ton of coal has 27 GJ. So each ton of solar hydrogen has the capacity to replace 5.26 tons of coal and avoid 18.9 tons of CO2 emissions.
Each ton of hydrogen used this way is worth $530 - so each 'square' described above produces $18.5 million per year producing 35,000 tons of hydrogen replacing 184,000 tons of coal and avoiding 662,000 tons of CO2.
Since the US uses about 1.1 billion tons of coal for electrical generation this means that a total of 5,975 squares are needed to displace all of that along with the pipelines (placed along the Union Pacific Rights of Way) to deliver the 209.12 million tons of hydrogen all over the continental US from our sites in Nevada.
Each 8'x4'x3" panel costs $63. A string costs $69,300. And the tanks on each end cost $14,850 each. Thus a completed string, installed is $99,000 - delivered on two flat bed trucks and installed by a crew of three.
660 strings in a square cost a total of $65.3 million and generates $18.5 million per year, so even with an 8% per year cost of capital and a 10 year life span, a substantial operating profit can be made!!!
Now, a ton of hydrogen can convert 8 tons of coal into 48 barrels of liquid fuels. So, to convert the 1.1 billion tons of coal into 6.6 billion barrels of liquid fuels (about what the US imports each year) requires the addition of 137.5 million tons of hydrogen which in turn requires 3,928 additional squares. Liquid fuels wholesale as commodities for about $63 per barrel. Thus, the 6.6 billion barrels of liquid fuels can generate $415 billion per year. If the same $530 per ton is paid for the solar hydrogen as the utilities pay, then $72.8 billion pays for the additional solar panels. The balance is profit to the oil operation and helps pay for high pressure hydrogenation reactors and fractional distillation units.
This ratio of 3,928 to 5,975 is the ratio of oil to electricity hydrogen production. But the high cost of oil favors its production, while electricity hydrogen sales make a lesser profit, but provide the coal that is already pre-purchased!
A preliminary setup in Nevada is being planned involving 100 squares With 40 squares making hydrogen for oil production and 60 squares making hydrogen for direct sale to nearby utilities. The 60 squares produce the equivalent of 11 million tons of coal each year, enough to power a 3 MW generator nonstop. The coal being exchanged for the hydrogen,is converted to liquid fuels, jet fuel, diesel fuel and gasoline, with the remaining 1.4 million tons of hydrogen, to create 66 million barrels of liquid fuels each year.
Nearly half the energy contained in the fuels come from sunlight, thus we call these fuels 'sunfuels' (C)
The 180,000 b/d facility is worth over $35 billion yet costs only $7 billion to build. Thus the value of the completed facility can be leveraged through bank financing to expand 100x over the next 12 years - to free America of its reliance on foreign energy, and end the stranglehold energy concerns have on our economy and economies around the world. This will free mid East oil to be sold to China and India, accelerating those economies, and making China and India consumer nations creating new markets for US goods and services.
In the end, Northern Nevada will be plated with 10,000 squares of solar collectors and provide copious hydrogen throughout the US to displace all fossil fuels and nuclear fuels in stationary electrical energy production. Hydrogen will also be used to convert the coal thus saved on long term contracts, to oil which will displace foreign oil purchases. Coal and oil production within the US will not be affected. A ton of hydrogen has the heat value of 131.2 mcf of natural gas. At $530 per ton this is equivalent to $4 per mcf natural gas. This is less than natural gas at the well head currently. And so, hydrogen will augment dwindling gas supplies and actually expand the market for direct use of these gases in heating and industrial processes. In all, domestic US energy companies will all benefit. Coal companies oil companies and natural gas companies will benefit from increased demand for their product, the US consumer will benefit from lowered costs and increased availability. Overseas, producers of oil will be free of US interference in their affairs, and increasing demand for oil products in Asia will take up the slack. Increased economic activity in Asia will create demand for US products and services and improve the US economy further. As oil supplies diminish replication of this process overseas will augment dwindling supplies, and direct use of hydrogen will rise.
In the end, within the next 28 years the entire world will enjoy an industrial lifestyle better than the average US citizen today, including US citizens, and the industrial processes linked to solar energy rather than extracted energy, will be some 11x what today's rate of consumption is, while the pollution rates will be some 1/20th of today's level. A total of 250,000 squares will be in place throughout the world.